(27b) Atmospheric CO2 Predictions for Different CCS Scenarios Based on EIA Fossil Fuel Emissions Projections
AIChE Spring Meeting and Global Congress on Process Safety
2020
2020 Virtual Spring Meeting and 16th GCPS
Environmental Division
Greenhouse Gas Reduction Technologies
Tuesday, August 18, 2020 - 1:50pm to 2:10pm
The spreadsheet based model described in this paper is useful for predicting CO2 based on fossil fuel emissions data. To calculate 2019 CO2 from 1750 requires 270 consecutive iterations of the model starting with the 1750 CO2 of 277ppm. Three examples of the 270 iterations are: CO2 in 1751 = 277 + 5.13 + E in 1750 â 0.0177*277; CO2 in year n+1 = CO2 in year n + 5.13 + E in year n â 0.0177*CO2 in year n; and CO2 in 2019 = CO2 in 2018 + 5.13 + E in 2018 â 0.0177*CO2 in 2018. All values of CO2 after 1750 are calculated from the previous yearâs calculated value. No interim corrections of CO2 based on measured CO2 data are required between 1750 and 2019. After 270 iterations the model calculates CO2 in 2019 to be 410ppm, which is the NOAA measured value.
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