(682b) Using Resilience Principles for Prediction of Loss of Containment Events in Batch Operations
AIChE Annual Meeting
2016
2016 AIChE Annual Meeting
Computing and Systems Technology Division
Design and Operations Under Uncertainty II
Thursday, November 17, 2016 - 12:49pm to 1:08pm
This paper presents a novel framework for incorporating both technical and social factors in an integrated approach - Process Resilience Analysis Framework and its four aspects: Early Detection, Error Tolerant Design, Plasticity and Recoverability. A combined framework for predictability, survivability and recoverability dynamic analysis is introduced with resilience metrics [4,5]. This work establishes and presents typical scenarios of Loss of Containment (LoC) events and resilience metrics for batch plant operations. The paper concludes with a discussion of the proposed integrated methodology for prediction of LoC events based on a mathematical model that explicitly accounts for process variations and safety constraints [6]. A detailed case study is utilized to illustrate the key ideas and a design optimization approach to obtain safer operational region at maximum average profit.
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